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Line 8: | Line 8: | ||
''Range:'' | ''Range:'' | ||
*CPI: 2. | *CPI: 2.6% - 2.8% | ||
*Core CPI: 3.2% - 3.4% | *Core CPI: 3.2% - 3.4% | ||
{| class="wikitable" | {| class="wikitable" | ||
Line 15: | Line 15: | ||
|'''Probability by Magaly''' | |'''Probability by Magaly''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
|CPI below 2. | |CPI below 2.6% | ||
|1 | |1%+ rally | ||
|5% | |5% | ||
|- | |- | ||
|CPI at 2. | |CPI at 2.6% | ||
|0. | |0.5% Rally | ||
|15% | |15% | ||
|- | |- | ||
Line 27: | Line 27: | ||
|50% | |50% | ||
|- | |- | ||
|CPI at 2. | |CPI at 2.8% | ||
| | |1% drop | ||
|25% | |25% | ||
|- | |- | ||
|CPI above 2. | |CPI above 2.8% | ||
| | |2.5% drop | ||
|5% | |5% | ||
|} | |} | ||
Line 50: | Line 50: | ||
|- | |- | ||
|CPI (MoM) | |CPI (MoM) | ||
|0. | |0.3% | ||
|0.2% | |0.2% | ||
|- | |- | ||
|CPI (YoY) | |CPI (YoY) | ||
|2.7% | |||
|2.6% | |2.6% | ||
|} | |} | ||
===FED Cleveland Forecast=== | ===FED Cleveland Forecast=== | ||
Line 69: | Line 69: | ||
!Core CPI | !Core CPI | ||
|- | |- | ||
| | |November 2024 | ||
|2. | |2.7 | ||
|3. | |3.3 | ||
|0. | |0.26 | ||
|0.27 | |0.27 | ||
|- | |- | ||
| | |December 2024 | ||
|2. | |2.81 | ||
|3. | |3.27 | ||
|0. | |0.37 | ||
|0.27 | |0.27 | ||
|} | |} | ||
==References== | ==References== |