Consumer Price Index:Historical Releases/2024 December
Return to: Consumer Price Index | Historical Releases | Consumer Price Index:Historical Releases/2024 November
Full Report: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_01152025.htm
Publishing date: January 15, 2025
CPI expectations
Some developments during the month: (more details: Consumer Price Index)
Range:
- CPI: 2.7% - 3.0%
- Core CPI: 3.2% - 3.4%
| Escenario | Market reaction | Probability by Magaly |
| CPI below 2.8% | 2%+ rally | 5% |
| CPI at 2.8% | 1.5% Rally | 15% |
| CPI in line with expectations | Flat | 50% |
| CPI at 3.0% | 2% drop | 25% |
| CPI above 3.0% | 3% drop | 5% |
Consensus forecast
| Variable | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| Core CPI (MoM) | 0.26% | 0.3% |
| Core CPI (YoY) | 3.3% | 3.3% |
| CPI (MoM) | 0.38% | 0.3% |
| CPI (YoY) | 2.9% | 2.7% |
FED Cleveland Forecast
| [1] | YoY Change | MoM Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month | CPI | Core CPI | CPI | Core CPI |
| December 2024 | 2.86 | 3.28 | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| January 2025 | 2.79 | 3.18 | 0.21 | 0.27 |
