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''Return to: [[Consumer Price Index]] | [[Consumer Price Index:Historical Releases|Historical Releases]]'' | |||
Full Report: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm | |||
Publishing date: October 12, 2023 | |||
== Summary == | == Summary == | ||
[[File:Screenshot 2023-10-12 084125.png|center|thumb|598x598px|https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1712451035338256678/photo/1]] | |||
[[File:Screenshot 2023-10-12 084002.png|center|thumb|594x594px|https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1712454009909314011/photo/1]] | |||
* Consumer price index(CPI) rose 0.4% in September, exceeding 0.3% estimate but below 0.6% growth in August. | * Consumer price index(CPI) rose 0.4% in September, exceeding 0.3% estimate but below 0.6% growth in August. | ||
* Year-over-year, CPI was unchanged from August’s 3.7%, but above 3.6% estimate. | * Year-over-year, CPI was unchanged from August’s 3.7%, but above 3.6% estimate. | ||
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* Supercore services 2 rose 0.6% in September versus 0.4% in August. | * Supercore services 2 rose 0.6% in September versus 0.4% in August. | ||
=== Contributors === | |||
=== Categories watched by the FED === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
!Index | |||
!M/M | |||
!Y/Y | |||
!Prev. M/M | |||
!Prev. Y/Y | |||
|- | |||
| Core Goods | |||
| | |||
| | |||
| -0.1% | |||
|0.2% | |||
|- | |||
|Core Services | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|0.4% | |||
|5.9% | |||
|- | |||
|Shelter | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|0.3% | |||
|7.3% | |||
|- | |||
|Services less shelter "super-core" | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|0.4%<ref>https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-13/us-core-inflation-gauge-accelerates-for-first-time-in-six-months?srnd=economics-v2</ref> | |||
|4% | |||
|} | |||
== CPI expectations == | == CPI expectations == | ||
Forecasts expect the September CPI to show the headline index rose 0.3% m/m, mantaining the 12-month rate to 3.6% from 3.7% in august. They see core CPI up 0.3%, same as last month, and brining y/y to 4.1% from 4.3 in August. | Forecasts expect the September CPI to show the headline index rose 0.3% m/m, mantaining the 12-month rate to 3.6% from 3.7% in august. They see core CPI up 0.3%, same as last month, and brining y/y to 4.1% from 4.3 in August. |