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Consumer Price Index:Historical Releases/2023 August: Difference between revisions
Consumer Price Index:Historical Releases/2023 August (view source)
Revision as of 16:47, 12 September 2023
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Publishing date: September 13, 2023 | Publishing date: September 13, 2023 | ||
== CPI expectations == | == CPI expectations == | ||
Forecasts expect the August CPI to show the headline index rose 0.6% in July, boosting the 12-month rate to 3.6% from 3.2% They see core CPI up 0.2%, same as last month, and brining y/y to 4.3% from 4.7 in July. | |||
Some developments during the month: (more details: [[Consumer Price Index]]) | Some developments during the month: (more details: [[Consumer Price Index]]) | ||
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|'''Probability by Magaly''' | |'''Probability by Magaly''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
|CPI below 3. | |CPI below 3.4% | ||
| | |2%+ rally | ||
|5% | |5% | ||
|- | |- | ||
|CPI between 3. | |CPI between 3.4% - 3.5% | ||
| | |1% Rally | ||
|15% | |15% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Line 38: | Line 40: | ||
|45% | |45% | ||
|- | |- | ||
|CPI between 3. | |CPI between 3.7% - 3.8% | ||
|1-2% drop | |1-2% drop | ||
|30% | |30% | ||
|- | |- | ||
|CPI above 3. | |CPI above 3.8% | ||
|3% drop | |3% drop | ||
|5% | |5% | ||