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(Created page with "== Competitor expectations and results == === Tesla === Tesla reported gross margin of 18.2%, lower than analysts expectations of 18.8% while its operating margins declined 5...") |
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=== Tesla === | === Tesla === | ||
Tesla reported gross margin of 18.2%, lower than analysts expectations of 18.8% while its operating margins declined 5% year-over-year to 9.6%, partly driven by discounts and incentives. "Our operating margin remained healthy at approximately 10%, even with price reductions in Q1 and early Q2. This reflects our ongoing cost reduction efforts, the continued production ramp success in Berlin and Texas and the strong performance of our Energy and Services & Other businesses," Tesla said in the press release. | Tesla reported gross margin of 18.2%, lower than analysts expectations of 18.8% while its operating margins declined 5% year-over-year to 9.6%, partly driven by discounts and incentives<ref name=":0">https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-earnings-ev-maker-reports-q2-revenue-and-earnings-beat-musk-says-q3-production-will-decrease-slightly-201947764.html#:~:text=Tesla's%20closely%20watched%20Q2%20gross,it%20was%20a%20year%20ago.</ref>. "Our operating margin remained healthy at approximately 10%, even with price reductions in Q1 and early Q2. This reflects our ongoing cost reduction efforts, the continued production ramp success in Berlin and Texas and the strong performance of our Energy and Services & Other businesses," Tesla said in the press release<ref>https://digitalassets.tesla.com/tesla-contents/image/upload/TSLA-Q2-2023-Update.pdf</ref>. | ||
Its automotive gross margin ex credits was 18.1% in-line with Street's estimate. But when asked whether this metric will improve in the near future after price cuts and factory improvements, CEO Elon Musk responded, “The short-term variances in gross margin and profitability really are minor relative to the long-term picture. Autonomy will make all of these numbers look silly.” | Its automotive gross margin ex credits was 18.1% in-line with Street's estimate<ref name=":0" />. But when asked whether this metric will improve in the near future after price cuts and factory improvements, CEO Elon Musk responded, “The short-term variances in gross margin and profitability really are minor relative to the long-term picture. Autonomy will make all of these numbers look silly.”<ref name=":1">https://seekingalpha.com/article/4618254-tesla-inc-tsla-q2-2023-earnings-call-transcript</ref> | ||
Elon Musk said that they had to reduce prices because demand was tracking production due to high interest rates. He noted that the economy is uncertain. " So, I mean, one day, it seems like the world economy is falling apart and the next day, everything is fine. I don’t know what’s going on. It’d be totally fine. I wish I did," he said. | Elon Musk said that they had to reduce prices because demand was tracking production due to high interest rates. He noted that the economy is uncertain. " So, I mean, one day, it seems like the world economy is falling apart and the next day, everything is fine. I don’t know what’s going on. It’d be totally fine. I wish I did," he said. He added that they will be willing to reduce prices further if the market condition will not be stable, "In fact, if you look at the rise in credit card debt, they are, in fact, not breaking even every month. Credit card debt is looking scary. So, we just don’t control the market conditions. If market condition is stable, I think prices will be stable. If they’re not stable, then we would have lower prices," Musk said<ref name=":1" />. | ||
Its VP of Supply Chain, Karn Budhiraj said that they have seen price reduction in some of the raw materials that they use in production. "But we have seen reduction in pricing across the board for all commodities that specifically go into batteries such as nickel, cobalt and graphite. And the reductions in pricing translate into thousands of dollars when you look at it from a per-vehicle impact," he said. | Its VP of Supply Chain, Karn Budhiraj said that they have seen price reduction in some of the raw materials that they use in production. "But we have seen reduction in pricing across the board for all commodities that specifically go into batteries such as nickel, cobalt and graphite. And the reductions in pricing translate into thousands of dollars when you look at it from a per-vehicle impact," he said<ref name=":1" />. | ||
Elon Musk said that they are willing to sacrifice margins in favor of volume since the cars that they sell will be worth almost 5 times in future what is today since they have full autonomy capability. " I think it -- it does make sense to sacrifice margins in favor of making more vehicles because we think in the not too distant future, they will have a dramatic valuation increase. I think the Tesla fleet value increase at the point which we can upload full self-driving and is approved by regulators will be the single biggest step change in asset value maybe in history." he said<ref name=":1" />. | |||
==== Summary of results ==== | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
!Key Items | |||
!Q2 2023 | |||
!Analysts expectations | |||
!Y/Y Growth | |||
|- | |||
|Revenue<ref name=":2">https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/19/tesla-tsla-earnings-q2-2023.html#:~:text=among%20other%20factors.-,Revenue%20from%20Tesla's%20core%20automotive%20business%20rose%2046%25%20year%2Dover,over%2Dyear%20to%20%241.51%20billion.</ref> | |||
|$24.93 billion | |||
|$24.47 billion | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Adjusted Net Income<ref name=":0" /> | |||
|$3.1 billion | |||
|$2.87 billion | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|EPS<ref>https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/19/tesla-tsla-earnings-q2-2023.html#:~:text=among%20other%20factors.-,Revenue%20from%20Tesla's%20core%20automotive%20business%20rose%2046%25%20year%2Dover,over%2Dyear%20to%20%241.51%20billion.</ref> | |||
|91 cents | |||
|82 cents | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Automotive Revenue<ref name=":2" /> | |||
|$21.27 billion | |||
| | |||
|46% | |||
|- | |||
|Gross Margins<ref name=":0" /> | |||
|18.2% | |||
|18.8% | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Automotive Gross Margin<ref name=":0" /> | |||
|18.1% | |||
|18.0% | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
==== Insights for Volkswagen ==== | |||
* Reduced gross margin for Tesla cars will hurt demand for Volkwagen's EVs. | |||
* Volkswagen will benefit from reduced prices for raw materials. | |||
* Demand for EVs and possibly high-end vehicles is weak. |