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Talk:Economic Outlook: Difference between revisions
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## [[User:MagaNH6|@Magaly]] We both know that this explanation is complete bs when it comes to treasuries. There is zero risk of default. My goal for the wiki is doing our own proprietary research, focusing on the correlations we believe are strongest. If in doubt we will extensively study historical examples and correlations and using a system of logical cause-effect principles to get to a high conviction level of what is important. To me it is indeed very important to be ultra critical towards anything -no matter the source - which doesn't make sense. --[[User:PirateCaptain|PirateCaptain]] ([[User talk:PirateCaptain|talk]]) 21:25, 4 January 2023 (UTC) | ## [[User:MagaNH6|@Magaly]] We both know that this explanation is complete bs when it comes to treasuries. There is zero risk of default. My goal for the wiki is doing our own proprietary research, focusing on the correlations we believe are strongest. If in doubt we will extensively study historical examples and correlations and using a system of logical cause-effect principles to get to a high conviction level of what is important. To me it is indeed very important to be ultra critical towards anything -no matter the source - which doesn't make sense. --[[User:PirateCaptain|PirateCaptain]] ([[User talk:PirateCaptain|talk]]) 21:25, 4 January 2023 (UTC) | ||
IMO yield curve inversion is the expectation of future lower rates from FED due to the expectations of lower economy activity and hence lower inflation. I will stick to my opinion that yield curve inversion is a strong signal for a upcoming recession due to the historical data supporting the correlation, until you show me data that says otherwise -- Magaly | [[User:PirateCaptain|@PirateCaptain]] IMO yield curve inversion is the expectation of future lower rates from FED due to the expectations of lower economy activity and hence lower inflation. I will stick to my opinion that yield curve inversion is a strong signal for a upcoming recession due to the historical data supporting the correlation, until you show me data that says otherwise -- [[User:MagaNH6|@Magaly]] | ||
== Wrong Correlation == | == Wrong Correlation == | ||