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''Range:'' | ''Range:'' | ||
* CPI: 5 | * CPI: 5% - 5.4% | ||
* Core CPI: 5.4% - 5. | * Core CPI: 5.5% - 5.7% | ||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
|'''Escenario''' | |||
|'''Market reaction''' | |||
|'''Probability by Magaly''' | |||
|- | |||
|If < 5% | |||
|3% rally | |||
|5% | |||
|- | |||
|Between 5.0% - 5.1% | |||
|1-2% Rally | |||
|35% | |||
|- | |||
|In line with expectations 5.2% | |||
|Flat | |||
|40% | |||
|- | |||
|Between 5.3% - 5.4% | |||
|1-2% drop | |||
|15% | |||
|- | |||
|if > 5.4% | |||
|4% drop | |||
|5% | |||
|} | |||
== CPI expectations == | == CPI expectations == | ||
Line 140: | Line 165: | ||
|- | |- | ||
|VISA | |VISA | ||
|5. | |5.40% | ||
|- | |- | ||
|MEDIAN | |MEDIAN |