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Consumer Price Index: Difference between revisions

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Consumer Price Index (view source)

Revision as of 16:37, 10 December 2024

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== Upcoming CPI expectations ==
== Upcoming CPI expectations ==
Expectations for October 2024 can be found [[Consumer Price Index:Historical Releases/2024 October|here]]   
Expectations for November 2024 can be found [[Consumer Price Index:Historical Releases/2024 November|here]]   


==Historical CPI Releases==
==Historical CPI Releases==
Line 24: Line 24:
|'''Market Reaction'''
|'''Market Reaction'''
|'''Full Release'''
|'''Full Release'''
|-
|[[Consumer Price Index:Historical Releases/2024 November|November 2024]]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|Link
|-
|-
|[[Consumer Price Index:Historical Releases/2024 October|October 2024]]
|[[Consumer Price Index:Historical Releases/2024 October|October 2024]]
Line 567: Line 580:
!M/M Forecast
!M/M Forecast
!Y/Y Forecast
!Y/Y Forecast
|-
|2024-11-01
|35.61
|0.37
|4.03
|0.3%
|3.9%
|-
|-
|2024-10-01
|2024-10-01
|35.46
|35.48
|0.37
|0.42
|3.99
|4.05
|0.3%
|0.3%
|4%
|4%
Line 591: Line 611:
|2024-07-01
|2024-07-01
|35.07
|35.07
|0.23  
|0.23
|3.63
|3.63
|0.3%
|0.3%
Line 604: Line 624:
|}
|}
===2. Supply Chains===
===2. Supply Chains===
Past developments: [[Supply Chain Developments]]
Past developments: [[Supply Chains|Supply Chain Developments]]
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
!Month<ref>https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/policy/gscpi#/interactive</ref>
!Month<ref>https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/policy/gscpi#/interactive</ref>
!Index
!Index
|-
|30-Nov-2024
| -0.32
|-
|-
|31-Oct-2024
|31-Oct-2024
| -0.32
| -0.33
|-
|-
|30-Sep-2024
|30-Sep-2024
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|0.22
|0.22
|-
|-
|31-Jul-2024
|31-Jul-2024  
| -0.04
| -0.05
|-
|-
|30-Jun-2024
|30-Jun-2024
Line 627: Line 650:
Past Developments: [[Producer Price Index]]
Past Developments: [[Producer Price Index]]
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
! rowspan="2" |Date<ref>https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UzvIAz6CBS78vH1moNA-foaZA0HWOb-AG1DfvCUJDio/edit?gid=1447472164#gid=1447472164&range=EB1</ref>
!'''Producer Price Index'''
! colspan="3" |PPI
!'''Actual'''<ref name=":0">https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/ppi-734</ref>
!'''Forecast(Y/Y)'''<ref name=":0" />
!'''Revised Previous(Y/Y)'''<ref name=":0" />
!'''M/M'''<ref name=":1">https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/ppi-238</ref>
! '''Forecast(M/M)'''<ref name=":1" />
!'''Revised Previous(M/M)<ref name=":1" />'''
|-
|-
!Index
|2024 October
!M/M
|2.40%
!Y/Y
|2.30%
|1.90%
|0.20%
|0.20%
|0.10%
|-
|-
|2024-09-01
|2024 September
|145.17
|1.80%
|0.05
|1.60%
|1.76
|1.90%
|0.00%
|0.10%
|0.20%
|-
|-
|2024-08-01
|2024 August
|145.10
|1.70%
|0.23
|1.80%
|1.93
|2.10%
|0.20%
|0.1%
|0.0%
|-
|-
|2024-07-01
|2024 July
|144.76
|2.20%
|0.03
|2.30%
|2.33
|2.70%
|0.10%
|0.2%
|0.2%
|-
|-
|2024-06-01
|2024 June
|144.72
|2.60%
|0.32
|2.30%
|2.88
|2.40%
|-
|0.20%
|2024-05-01
|0.1%
|144.26
|0.0%
|0.00
|2.55
|}
|}
===4. Housing Market===
===4. Housing Market===
Past Developments: [[Housing Market: US#Price Developments|Housing Market: US]]
Past Developments: [[Housing Market: US#Price Developments|Housing Market: US]]
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!M/M
!M/M
!Y/Y
!Y/Y
|-
|2024-09-01
|324.80
| -0.10
|3.89
|-
|-
|2024-08-01
|2024-08-01
|325.03
|325.13
| -0.13
| -0.13
|4.25
|4.28
|-
|-
| 2024-07-01
|2024-07-01
|325.46
|325.54
|0.01
|0.03
|4.85
|4.87
|-
|-
|2024-06-01
|2024-06-01
|325.44
|325.43
|0.49
|0.48
|5.49
|5.49
|-
|2024-05-01
|323.86
|0.93
|5.99
|}
|}
==== Rents ====
==== Rents ====
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
! rowspan="2" |Date<ref name=":02">https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/national-rent-data?utm_source=twitter.com</ref>
! rowspan="2" |Date<ref name=":03">https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/national-rent-data?utm_source=twitter.com</ref>
! colspan="3" |Overall
! colspan="3" |Overall
! colspan="3" |1 Bedroom
! colspan="3" |1 Bedroom
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!M/M
!M/M
!Y/Y
!Y/Y
|-
|11/1/2024
|1382
| -0.86
| -0.65
|1214
| -0.82
| -0.65
|1368
| -0.80
| -0.58
|-
|-
|10/1/2024
|10/1/2024
|1,394
|1394
| -0.71
| -0.71
| -0.71
| -0.71
|1225
|1224
| -0.73
| -0.81
| -0.73
| -0.73
|1380
|1379
| -0.72
| -0.79
| -0.72
| -0.79
|-
|-
|9/1/2024
|9/1/2024
|1,404
|1404
| -0.57
| -0.50
| -0.78
| -0.78
|1234
|1234
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|-
|-
|8/1/2024
|8/1/2024
|1,412
|1411
| -0.07
| -0.14
| -0.77
| -0.84
|1240
|1240
| -0.16
| -0.16
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|-
|-
|7/1/2024
|7/1/2024
|1,413
|1413
|0.21
|0.21
| -0.84
| -0.84
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|-
|-
|6/1/2024
|6/1/2024
|1,410
|1410
|0.43
|0.43
| -0.77
| -0.77
Line 772: Line 821:
CPI food at home prices are highly directionally correlated to on a 6-month lagged basis.
CPI food at home prices are highly directionally correlated to on a 6-month lagged basis.
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
!Date<ref name=":05">https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/en/</ref>
!Date<ref name=":04">https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/en/</ref>
! colspan="3" |Food Price Index
! colspan="3" |Food Price Index
!Meat
!Meat
!Dairy
! Dairy
!Cereals
!Cereals
!Oils
!Oils
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!Index
!Index
!Index
!Index
|-
|2024-11
|127.50
|0.47
|5.72
|118.1
|139.9
|111.4
|164.1
|126.4
|-
|-
|2024-10
|2024-10
|127.40
|126.90
|2.00
|1.85
|5.55
|5.14
|120.4
|119.1
|139.1
|139.0
|114.4
|114.4
|152.7
|152.7
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|-
|-
|2024-09
|2024-09
|124.90
|124.60
|2.63
|2.38
|2.63
|2.38
|120.8
|119.9
| 136.5
|136.5
|113.6
|113.6  
|142.4
|142.4
|126.3
|126.3
|-
|-
|2024-08  
|2024-08
|121.70
|121.70
|0.66
|0.66
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|120.0
|120.0
|127.9
|127.9
|110.7
|110.7  
|135.0
|135.0
|119.5
|119.5
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| -1.63
| -1.63
|118.1
|118.1
|127.9
| 127.9
|115.2
|115.2
|131.8
|131.8  
|119.4
|119.4
|}
|}
Line 845: Line 904:
! rowspan="2" |Date
! rowspan="2" |Date
Average Prices
Average Prices
! colspan="3" |WTI<ref name=":52">https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DCOILWTICO</ref>
! colspan="3" |WTI<ref name=":5">https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DCOILWTICO</ref>
! colspan="3" |US Regular All Formulations Gas Price<ref name=":62">https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GASREGW</ref>
! colspan="3" |US Regular All Formulations Gas Price<ref name=":6">https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GASREGW</ref>
|-
|-
!Dollars per Barrel NSA
!Dollars per Barrel NSA
!M/M
!M/M
!Y/Y
!Y/Y
! Dollars per Gallon NSA
!Dollars per Gallon NSA
!M/M
!M/M
!Y/Y  
!Y/Y
|-
|2024-11-01
|69.95
| -2.83
| -9.96
|3.05
| -2.68
| -7.99
|-
|-
|2024-10-01
|2024-10-01
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|2024-07-01
|2024-07-01
|81.80
|81.80
| 2.54
|2.54
|7.53
|7.53
|3.48
|3.48
Line 900: Line 967:
! rowspan="2" |Date
! rowspan="2" |Date
! colspan="4" |Used Car Index
! colspan="4" |Used Car Index
! colspan="3" |New Car Average Transaction Prices  
! colspan="3" |New Car Average Transaction Prices
|-
|-
!Index (1/97 = 100)
!Index (1/97 = 100)
Line 906: Line 973:
!Index % MoM
!Index % MoM
!Index % YoY
!Index % YoY
! ATP
!ATP
!M/M
!M/M
!Y/Y
!Y/Y
|-
|-
|Oct-24
|Nov-24
|202.80
|205.4
|18,787
|1.28
|0.20
|48,724
|1.5%
|
|-
|Oct-24  
|202.8
|18,552  
|18,552  
| -0.10
| -0.10
| -3.15
| -3.15
|48,398
| 48,398
|0.2%
|0.2%
|0.4%
| 0.4%
|-
|-
|Sep-24
|Sep-24
|203.00
|203.0
|18,565
|18,565
| -0.44
| -0.44
Line 929: Line 1,005:
|-
|-
|Aug-24
|Aug-24
|203.90
|203.9
|18,654
|18,654
|1.14
|1.14  
| -3.91
| -3.91
|47,997
|47,997
Line 937: Line 1,013:
| -1.17%
| -1.17%
|-
|-
|July-24
|July-24  
|201.60
|201.6
|18,441
|18,441  
|2.80  
|2.80
| -4.77
| -4.77
|48,166
|48,166
Line 947: Line 1,023:
|-
|-
|Jun-24
|Jun-24
|196.10
|196.1
| 17,934
| 17,934
| -0.61
| -0.61
| -8.83
| -8.83
|48,424<ref>https://www.coxautoinc.com/market-insights/june-2024-atp-report/</ref>  
|48,424<ref>https://www.coxautoinc.com/market-insights/june-2024-atp-report/</ref>
|0.1%
|0.1%
| -1.08%
| -1.08%
Line 966: Line 1,042:
!
!
!
!
|-
|2024-10-01
|141.20
|0.28
|0.79
|-
|-
|2024-09-01
|2024-09-01
Line 972: Line 1,053:
| -0.14
| -0.14
|-
|-
|2024-08-01
| 2024-08-01
|141.40
|141.40  
| -0.21
| -0.28
|0.78  
|0.78
|-
|-
|2024-07-01
|2024-07-01
|141.70
|141.80
|0.07
|0.14
|1.65
|1.72
|-
|-
|2024-06-01
|2024-06-01
|141.60
|141.60
| 0.07
|0.07
|1.58
|1.58
|}
|}
Line 996: Line 1,077:
! PMI Manufacturing<ref>https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/ism-manufacturing-prices-174</ref><ref>https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/ism-manufacturing-prices</ref>
! PMI Manufacturing<ref>https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/ism-manufacturing-prices-174</ref><ref>https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/ism-manufacturing-prices</ref>
!PMI Services<ref>https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/ism-non-manufacturing-prices-1049</ref><ref>https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/ism-non-manufacturing-prices</ref>
!PMI Services<ref>https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/ism-non-manufacturing-prices-1049</ref><ref>https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/ism-non-manufacturing-prices</ref>
|-
|Nov-24
|50.3
|58.2
|-
|-
|Oct-24
|Oct-24
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