3,882
edits
No edit summary |
No edit summary |
||
Line 6: | Line 6: | ||
==CPI expectations== | ==CPI expectations== | ||
Some developments during the month: (more details: [[Consumer Price Index]]) | Some developments during the month: (more details: [[Consumer Price Index]]) | ||
*Lack | *Lack of progress with wages, which surprised to the upside again in May 2024. | ||
*Oil and Gasoline | *Oil and Gasoline declined during May 2024 after a few month of increases, being down 6.1% m/m and -0.23% m/m, respectively. | ||
*Food Index had the third consecutive month of increases with a 0.9% m/m increase, but still down 3.4% Y/Y. | *Food Index had the third consecutive month of increases with a 0.9% m/m increase, but still down 3.4% Y/Y. | ||
*Supply chain index remains stable | *Supply chain index remains stable | ||
*Housing prices | *Housing prices increased 1.2% m/m during May, reaching 6.5% Y/Y. Rents also increased by 0.5% m/m, down 0.8% y/y. | ||
*Used car prices continue to decline in | *Used car prices continue to decline in May being -0.6% m/m, while new car average transaction prices remain unchanged. | ||
*Import prices continued to | *Import prices continued to increase being up 1.3% in May 2024, and up now 1% y/y, after being negative for months. | ||
The markets is currently pricing 2 rate cuts in 2024, starting in september. | The markets is currently pricing 2 rate cuts in 2024, starting in september. | ||
[[File:Screenshot 2024-06-11 135509.png|alt=|center|thumb|530x530px|https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html?redirect=/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html]] | [[File:Screenshot 2024-06-11 135509.png|alt=|center|thumb|530x530px|https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html?redirect=/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html]] |