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== Developments == | == Developments == | ||
[[File:Screenshot 2023-09-14 093958.png|alt=|center|thumb|921x921px|https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PPIFIS]] | |||
{| class="wikitable" | {| class="wikitable" | ||
!'''Producer Price Index''' | !'''Producer Price Index''' | ||
Line 15: | Line 15: | ||
!'''Market Reaction''' | !'''Market Reaction''' | ||
!'''Release Date''' | !'''Release Date''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2023 November | |2023 November | ||
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|[https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ppi_01132022.pdf Jan 13] | |[https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ppi_01132022.pdf Jan 13] | ||
|} | |} | ||
=== February 2023 === | |||
* February Producer Price Index was encouraging. It fell 0.1%, versus 0.3% increase in January and against the estimate for a 0.3% increase. Year-on-year, PPI rose 4.6% in the month, versus 5.7% in January and below the 5.4% estimate. | |||
* Core PPI rose 0.2% in February, compared to 0.5% gain in January. On a yearly basis, core PPI was up 4.4% versus analyst's estimate of 5.2% and 4.4% prior. | |||
* The decline in headline PPI stemmed from a 0.2% drop in goods prices. Goods prices had risen by 1.2% in January. | |||
* Many items from the PPI report are used to calculate the personal consumption expenditures(PCE) — the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation<ref>https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/15/ppi-february-2023-.html | |||
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm | |||
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3947615-producer-price-inflation-falls-in-february</ref>. | |||
=== March 2023 === | |||
* The U.S producer price index(PPI) dropped 0.5% month-over-month in March compared to expectations for prices to be flat<ref>https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/12/stock-market-today-live-updates.html</ref>. | |||
* Core PPI declined 0.1% month-over-month, way better than the 0.2% expected increase. | |||
* Year-over-year, PPI rose 2.7% in March versus 4.9% year-over-year increase in February. | |||
* The decline in PPI was mainly attributed to the 1% drop in the prices of final demand goods<ref>https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ppi.pdf</ref>. | |||
=== April 2023 === | |||
* The producer price index increased 0.2% in April, below 0.3% estimate. | |||
* Core PPI also increased 0.2% , in-line with estimates. | |||
* Yearly, headline PPI rose 2.3%, below the 2.4% estimate and 2.7% growth in March. | |||
* 80% of the rise in PPI was attributed to the 0.3% rise in prices for final demand services<ref>https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/11/wholesale-prices-rose-just-0point2percent-in-april-less-than-estimate-as-inflation-pressures-ease.html</ref>. | |||
=== May 2023 === | |||
* The producer price index declined by 0.3% in May, more than the 0.1% decline expected by Dow Jones. | |||
* Core PPI rose 0.2% in line with the estimates. | |||
* The decline in PPI was mainly attributed to the 1.6% decline in prices for final demand goods<ref>https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/13/stock-market-today-live-updates.html</ref>. | |||
* Year-over-year, PPI rose 1.1% in May versus 1.50% expected<ref name=":0" />. | |||
=== June 2023 === | |||
* The producer price index(PPI) rose 0.1% in June, below the expected 0.2% increase. | |||
* Year-over-year, producer price index rose 0.1% versus expectations for a 0.4% increase. | |||
* Core PPI rose 0.1% in June versus expectations for a 0.2% increase. | |||
* Year-over-year, core PPI rose 2.4% below expectations for a 2.6% increase and also the smallest gain since January 2021<ref>https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-13/us-producer-prices-rise-at-slowest-pace-in-nearly-three-years?srnd=economics-v2</ref>. | |||
* Prices for final demand goods were flat in June. | |||
* The increase in PPI can be traced to a 0.2% rise in prices for final demand services<ref>https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ppi.pdf</ref>. | |||
=== July 2023 === | |||
* The producer price index(PPI) rose 0.3% in July, slightly above the 0.2% estimate<ref>https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-11/us-producer-prices-rise-more-than-expected-on-services-strength</ref>. | |||
* Yearly, PPI rose 0.8%, also slightly above the 0.7% estimate. | |||
* Core PPI was up 0.3% versus 0.2% estimate. | |||
* Yearly, core PPI was up 2.4% versus 2.3% estimate. | |||
* The increase in PPI was mainly attributed to services, which rose 0.5% for the month, the largest increase since August 2022. | |||
=== August 2023 === | |||
* August producer price index(PPI) rose 0.7% from a month earlier<ref name=":2">https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ppi.pdf</ref>, exceeding estimate for a 0.4% increase<ref>https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-14/us-producer-prices-rise-most-in-more-than-a-year-on-energy-costs</ref>. | |||
* Yearly, PPI rose 1.6%, also exceeding estimate for a 1.2% rise. | |||
* Core PPI increased 0.2%, in-line with the estimate. | |||
* Year-over-year, core PPI rose 2.2%, also in-line with the estimate. | |||
* The increase in PPI was mainly attributed to energy prices which rose 10.5% in August(July:+0.8%). | |||
* The prices for final demand goods rose 2% on the month while services prices rose 0.2%. | |||
=== September 2023 === | |||
* September producer price index(PPI) rose 0.5% from a month earlier<ref name=":2" />, exceeding estimate for a 0.3% increase<ref>https://www.cnbc.com/2023/10/11/ppi-september2023-.html</ref>. | |||
* Yearly, PPI rose 2.2%, also exceeding estimate for a 1.6% rise and August's 2.0% (revised up from 1.6%). | |||
* Core PPI rose 0.3%, above 0.2% estimate. | |||
* The increase in PPE came mainly from final demand goods, which rose 0.9% on the month. | |||
* Services grew 0.3% in September. | |||
* The rise in goods prices was mainly contributed by gasoline prices, which rose 5.4%. | |||
=== October 2023 === | |||
* October producer price index(PPI) fell 0.5%<ref>https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ppi.pdf</ref>, the largest decrease since April and compared to +0.1% estimate<ref>https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-15/us-producer-prices-decline-by-most-since-april-2020-on-gasoline</ref> and 0.4% growth in September (revised down from 0.5%). | |||
* Yearly, PPI rose 1.3%, below 1.9% estimate and lower than 2.2% in September. | |||
* Core PPI was flat month-over-month versus +0.3% estimate. | |||
* Yearly, core PPI rose 2.4%, below +2.7% estimate. | |||
* Over 80% of the decline in headline PPI was due to a 15.3% drop in the price of gasoline. | |||
* Services costs were flat month-over-month after rising for six consecutive months. | |||
=== December 2023 === | === December 2023 === | ||
* Producer Price Index (PPI) | * Producer Price Index (PPI) was flat in November<ref>https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm</ref> as was expected<ref>https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-12-13/us-producer-prices-little-changed-as-energy-costs-slide</ref>. | ||
* On a yearly basis, PPI rose | * On a yearly basis, PPI rose 0.9%, lower than 1.0% estimate and 1.2% in October (revised down from 1.3%). | ||
* Core PPI was also flat in November versus forecast for a 0.2% increase. | * Core PPI was also flat in November versus forecast for a 0.2% increase. | ||
* Yearly, core PPI rose | * Yearly, core PPI rose 2%, lower than 2.2% estimate. | ||
* Services index was unchanged in | * Services index was unchanged in November, the same as in October. | ||
* Energy prices fell 1.2% in | * Energy prices fell 1.2% in November. | ||
== References == | == References == |